The impact of the US dollar on global trade

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III. Increased subsidies and trade control measures
In 2025, global industrial and trade policies will be affected by the national security priorities and the fulfillment of climate commitments of various countries. Trade control measures may increase, and policies to support domestic sustainable and environmentally friendly products will be introduced one after another. Although these policies have their specific goals, they will undoubtedly have a negative impact on the growth of international trade, especially in strategic industries.

In this regard, if foreign traders want to avoid the possible increase in trade costs, they can use the search tool of the Geeksend email marketing platform to find new potential customers based on location, industry, company, etc. and develop new potential markets without worrying too much.

Geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in US policies may romania telegram number database cause the US dollar exchange rate to fluctuate. On the one hand, geopolitical factors may cause the US dollar to appreciate; on the other hand, the Fed's potential interest rate cuts next year may weaken the US dollar. Given that most commodities and cross-border trade are denominated in US dollars, the instability of the US dollar exchange rate will undoubtedly bring many uncertainties to global trade.

5. Shipping costs decline
In the second half of this year, the demand for container shipping has shown a downward trend, as evidenced by the sharp drop in the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index. Although the decline in shipping costs has reduced transportation costs to a certain extent, it also reflects the weakening of global demand for intermediate goods and processed products, which also poses a potential risk to the stable growth of global trade.

The trade outlook for next year is full of uncertainties. Countries need to pay close attention to these risk factors and take effective measures to address them.